China's fuel dilemma

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By Dan Griffiths | BBC World News
November 02, 2007

China's decision to raise fuel prices by almost 10% is a surprising move

In September the government promised to keep rates at current levels. But it now says rises are necessary to prevent inflation and social unrest. So why the change?

Beijing has long had a system of price controls on fuel.

But it can not ignore what is happening in the rest of the world.

While oil prices have been skyrocketing, domestic price controls mean that Chinese refiners are unable to pass those rises on to Chinese consumers.

Fuel shortages

That has meant a growing gap between the soaring global price of crude oil and domestic fuel prices.

Consequently, Chinese oil companies are losing money and are reluctant to increase production, knowing that would lead to even higher losses.

The result is fuel shortages across the country.

Large lines are a common sight outside many filling stations. Some have already shut down and tempers are rising.

State media reported that one man was killed in a fight after he tried to jump the queue at a petrol station in central China.

The government is hoping that higher prices will encourage oil refiners to boost output and reduce the fuel crisis.

But many companies may feel that the price hike is still not enough, especially if global oil prices continue to rise.

Inflation worries

Behind all this is China's insatiable appetite for oil.

The country's booming economy is sucking up crude at record rates and China is now the world's second largest consumer of oil after the US.

Net imports in the first eight months of this year soared by nearly 20%.

But rising fuel prices may have created another economic headache.

They are likely to add to soaring inflation which in August hit a 10-year high of 6.5%.

The central bank has already raised interest rates several times this year and another hike is likely before the end of the year.

Many analysts think that the increases are still not enough to curb inflation.

The government worries that inflation could lead to social unrest - rising prices were one of the factors in the run-up to the Tiananmen Square protests in 1989.

>> Complete report

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Silenced - China's Great Wall of Censorship. This book takes the reader on a fascinating and disturbing trip behind China’s Great Wall of Censorship. It also tells the story of Voice of Tibet, the radio station China couldn’t silence.

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